Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Prediction: There Will Be No Crewed Landings, On Moon or Elsewhere, Until Long After Trump Exits World Stage…


My thesis: his "space force" dreams will never play out, at least not until the mid 2030s. And unlikely, even then.

Aside from Elon Musk's technical challenges in trying to get a super heavy "New V2" rocket ready to go, there's simply is no strong new scientific reason -- for crews to return to the moon. [And I've repeatedly previously expressed my skepticism about any need for boots on Mars.] Robotic Rovers and helicopters can do almost all that a human can -- all without the very considerable risk of permanent cellular damage from excessive space radiation.

In any event, here is the latest on it all from Gizmodo:

. . .Starship has yet to complete a fully successful orbital flight -- a prerequisite for orbital propellant transfer. On top of that, SpaceX will face a learning curve with Starship Version 2, the newest and largest iteration of the rocket. SpaceX plans to debut V2 -- which will serve as the basis of the HLS -- in early 2026.

Much like the first half of V1’s 2025 launch schedule, V2’s could get off to an explosive start. . . .


Onward. Doctors' appointments in Denver up next. . . grin.

नमस्ते

No comments: