Sunday, October 29, 2017

[U] It Is, As Ever [Now Not So] Dicey Predicting -- But Feels Increasingly Like Christmas Morning...


Updated: 10.30.2017 @ 9 AM EDT -- Yep. Against former Trump for President '16 Campaign Chief Paul Manafort -- and his associate, Mr. Gates -- a 12 count felony indictment, just unsealed this morning (as a 31-page PDF file). They've surrendered to authorities. Now the pressure cooking begins, in earnest.

[It turns out that another Trump campaign official entered a guilty plea, to making felony false statements (in a nine-page PDF letter agreement, signed in Chicago) on October 5, 2017 (just unsealed) -- and is now cooperating (and the related charging statement). Very bad news for 45, despite what he has tweeted here at mid-morning.] Slightly revised masthead, since Mr. Flynn is not (yet) indicted. End update.

This year -- for those of us who believe in the rule of law, not men -- Christmas may come just a little early. Recall that my long-standing (since May 2017), and ongoing guess here, has been that Mr. Mueller III would hand down meaningful indictments by Christmas 2017.

It seems he is working a little bit more quickly than I had expected -- or, perhaps, given the sudden resignation of Dana Boente on this past Wednesday -- Mr. Mueller felt the need to move quite quickly and get one large indictment out before too long, lest 45 decide to order Jeff Sessions to fire Mueller.

Either way (while it is always dicey to play such guessing games), it is likely bad news for 45. After Monday, he will face a scenario far darker than Nixon did, when he tried to fire the special counsel, prior to any indictments. It will be painfully clear that 45 is obstructing justice if he tries to have Mueller fired, with an unsealed indictment of Manafort (or Flynn) already on the table. [Beyond Nixonian, these moments, now -- after Monday night. . .]

And so, the pressure cooking will begin in earnest: Manafort in particular is likely to give up Donnie Jr., and perhaps even Jared as well, in return for a deal of no jail -- and then the question becomes how long before the President's two most loyal crime family operatives (putting his own daughter to one side for a moment -- though she too may see an indictment by year end). . .and then buckle, in the face of jail time and indictments -- and accurately testify to Mr. Trump's directives on the Russia matter, among others?

That could now easily all unfold -- by Christmas Day 2017. Does it reach -- and drown -- Mike Pence as well? We shall see. Will HRC also be tarnished? Perhaps -- but she is a private citizen now. A much less meaningful target.

So now we wait for the morning -- to see what happens tomorrow -- Monday. It seems my "Devil in the White City" night of sleuthing was -- in some manner. . . a foretelling, or at least nicely-coincidentally timed. Smile. . . . onward.

Separately, we were quite gratified and well-pleased with Nashville's response to the white supremacists over Saturday. . . and into today. Well done, all you Americans of good will!



नमस्ते

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

While you unwrap your gifts...think of how great it will be when Obama, Holder, Clinton and Podesta are arrested for the $100 million in bribes they took from Russia for nukes.

The DNC makes Nixon look like mother Theresa.

condor said...

Interesting perspective, Anon.

Do tell me more — like for instance whether (even if we assume all your silly talking points are accurate — they are not)...

Is there any evidence that any Russian actor, private or State... was ever in possession of any of that uranium outside the US?

Hint: there isn’t. It was a well vetted commercial deal... entirely unlike the Whitefish contract attempt in PR, btw.

I think many people have acted dishonorably, true — but not one of those you mention (save perhaps Podesta) committed any crime.

And all are private citizens.

We are talking about the current Commander in Chief here man.

Are you daft — that’s comparing fish... to bicycles!

Namaste — please correct any error you think I might have made. Do stop back, you Oregon Duck!

Smile...

condor said...

UPDATING HERE:

It seems Mercer (cynically) is selling out -- getting rid of his holdings in Breitbart's media company, since it seems clear -- with the withdrawal of Clovis' nomination to Ag, and likely pending indictment, as well. . .

The "marketable value" of Breitbart (and his ilk) has peaked. In fact, past peaked.

It is all downhill from here.

That's the assessment of a $50 billion hedge fund guy (he's a jerk, but he is right -- this property is spoiled goods now). See this:

https://twitter.com/JoshuaGreen/status/926116897342525446

Namaste one and all.