My Best Guess? After Latest Events In The UK; EU -- Even If Boris Is PM... "Remain" Ends All Brexit Talk: 2021

I'll admit at the top, I no longer follow British politics as closely as I probably ought to, given the exposures some of my life science clients would have in the UK and the EU, if a hard Brexit were to come to pass this late summer. [There is just a wriggling fire-hose -- full of nonsense to stay after -- here in the US. And only so many hours in the day.]

Having said that, I think "old Boris -- and the Brexiteers" [as capably outlined below] will do themselves in. And some time next year, or the year after, a new referendum will be held. . . and Remainers will win, by about 51 to 48. Here's The Guardian -- on it all [opinion pages]:

. . . .Remainers won this European election and they would win a referendum too: why else do leavers resist the minor inconvenience of another ballot with such ferocity? The real “betrayal” of democracy would be any move towards Brexit without popular consent.

Every media interviewer should challenge every Tory leadership candidate with the dishonesty of imposing their Brexit on what is now a remain nation. . . .

There is much more of the sensible British view, at the link -- do go read it. But I remain convinced that there will in fact be no abrupt, hard Brexit, nor will there even be half-way measures, toward it, before late 2020. And overall now, the likelihood of remaining in the EU. . . is greater than it has been, in almost four long years. Onward.

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