Showing posts with label 2015 Lung Kidney Melanoma Renal Cell Carcinoma Nivolumab Opdivo Keytruda Oncology FDA Breakthrough Status BMS December 22 30 2014 July 20 September 28 October 10 27 2015. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2015 Lung Kidney Melanoma Renal Cell Carcinoma Nivolumab Opdivo Keytruda Oncology FDA Breakthrough Status BMS December 22 30 2014 July 20 September 28 October 10 27 2015. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Overall, A Nice Quarter For Kenilworth -- But BMS's Opdivo® Has Widened Its Lead Over Keytruda®


Just as we long-said it would, Opdivo® has really started to pull away in Q3 2015 revenues, as its deeper and broader approvals kick in. To be sure, there is still a lot of room for Merck's Keytruda® to be a great oncology franchise, in terms of sales, but it is unlikely to ever catch BMS, now. [BMS Q3 2015 release -- from which the chart at right is derived.] That's just my gut reaction, based on three quarters of global full on-market sales.

As I wrote in a comment this morning, earlier, I was a little too optimistic about currencies -- guessing a 7 per cent down bubble, when in fact they came in at. . . eight. So it goes -- it was simply a guess, afterall. Here is a bit from Merck's newly-increased fully year 2015 guidance -- which is truly welcome news. So -- all in all, a pretty solid Kenilworth quarter:

. . . .Merck has raised its full-year 2015 non-GAAP EPS range to be between $3.55 and $3.60, including a negative impact from foreign exchange. The range excludes acquisition- and divestiture-related costs, costs related to restructuring programs and certain other items. The company also has raised its full-year 2015 GAAP EPS range to be between $1.64 and $1.74.

At current exchange rates, the company now anticipates full-year 2015 revenues to be between $39.2 billion and $39.8 billion, including a negative impact from foreign exchange and approximately $1 billion of net lost sales from acquisitions and divestitures.

In addition, the company continues to expect full-year 2015 non-GAAP marketing and administrative expenses to be below 2014 levels and R&D expenses to be modestly above 2014 levels.

The company continues to anticipate its full-year 2015 non-GAAP tax rate will be in the range of 23 to 24 percent, not including a 2015 R&D tax credit. . . .


The above is likely what is driving MRK's NYSE share price increase today -- and for the record, BMS is up, proportionately more -- because (of course) Optivo contributes proportionately more, to BMS's overall results -- and it is, as I say -- pulling away. Onward!