Yesterday, Judge Cavanaugh agreed to decide -- as early as July 1, 2013 -- on preliminary approval orders in the cases. That would allow for a mailing of notices to all affacted Merck (and legacy Schering-Plough) common stockholders as early as the following week.
The current notice process will be triggered by preliminary approval, which I will predict Judge Cavanaugh will grant. That decision could be handed down by Judge Cavanaugh as early as July 1 2013. However, both sides estimate that even with prelimnary approval on July 1, the date for the final approval hearings, given the other time frames set out in the order -- primarily the timelines needed for responses from perhaps hundreds of thousands of securities holders -- will need to be no earlier than September 30, 2013.
It is shaping up to look like the actual payouts may begin either as a Christmas present in 2013, or a Valentines 2014 event. So it goes.
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