Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Some Poor Precognition Skills -- Among Our 2008 Poll-Takers. . . .


This is a rather small matter, but back in the Summer of 2008, as the Cain v. Hassan, et. al, fur was really flying -- I asked whether Hans Becherer would continue on the board of directors, after the 2009 Annual Meeting. Oh, Alright! -- I asked it in a more provocative fashion [See the archived poll, in the lower-left margin of this blog -- or look at the screen cap, at right -- click it to enlarge.] But I did ask. And he is no longer on the board. This is the law of small numbers, in action.
The actual poll question asked:

. . . .Will Hans Becherer be Removed By The Board in 2009?

Only one person accurately predicted yesterday's outcome. Only one. We will perhaps never know whether the other three were right (about the end of Ira Kay's role as compensation consultant to the Chair of the Compensation Committee, as Merck is almost certain to choose someone else, in any event, for the combined companies' 2010 proxy statement executive compensation disclosures/plan designs).

OTOH, seven people did ask "Wait a Minute -- What About Fred Hassan?"

Funny thing, that.

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